
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next U.S. government funding law enacted includes a provision extending the Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium/enhanced tax credits beyond December 31, 2025. It will suffice if such a law continues the availability of ACA premium tax credits beyond December 31, 2025, in any form, including, but not limited to, shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or reduced eligibility. This market will resolve to "No" if such a funding law is enacted without any provision extending the ACA premium tax credits beyond December 31, 2025, or if no funding law is enacted by December 31, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:16:00 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.