
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arjun Erigaisi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alireza Firouzja wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ian Nepomniachtchi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wesley So wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maxime Vachier-Lagrave wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Finegold wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wei Yi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodar Murzin wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 26 - December 28 You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone other than any of the named competitors wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniil Dubov wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jan-Krzysztof Duda wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olexandr Bortnyk wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bu Xiangzhi wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Levon Aronian wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hans Niemann wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Naroditsky wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Grischuk wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Person I wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may be updated in the future to replace Person I with one of the potential competitors. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Person J wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may be updated in the future to replace Person J with one of the potential competitors. If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:54:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.