Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$90K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.3¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On September 9, there was a fire on one of the ships included in the Global Sumud Flotilla delivering aid to Gaza. For more information, please visit: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly67g7pdlko. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the September 9 fire was caused by a drone operated under the authority of the Israeli government/military. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the Israeli government claiming responsibility for the incident will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from relevant investigative agencies.