Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$225.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the shooter of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson used a gun created in part or whole through 3D printing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the gun the shooter used was created wholly through any method other than 3D printing. If any portion of the gun used by the shooter was created through 3D printing, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". If the suppressor used by the shooter was created through 3D printing, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether the shooter's gun was 3D printed or not. If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.