Ethena USDe depeg before April?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$219.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Ethena USDe depeg before April?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all CoinGeko 30 minute candles for Ethena USDe-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 21 Feb '25 00:00 and 1 April '25 00:00 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDe below 98 cents that starts on the last day in March will count. The resolution source for this market is the USDe-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethena-usde with "24h" and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to CoinGeko USDe-USD. If CoinGeko stops having the necessary USDe information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDe was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.