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Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.3M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Elon Musk has resigned or will resign as head/co-head of the of the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE), or otherwise ceases to be head of the of the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Musk's resignation or removal before the resolution date, made by DOGE, Elon Musk, or the Trump Administration will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source will be official information from DOGE, Elon Musk, or the Trump Administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.