Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$3.1K

Total volume$782.8K

Liquidity$41.4K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds2.8%

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes2.8%Polymarket estimate

No97.2%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $41.4K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.3¢ / 3.3¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.