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Drone detection legislation passes in 2024?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$32.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Drone detection legislation passes in 2024?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On December 15, Chuck Schumer posted that he was working to pass a bill in the US senate designed to give local law enforcement more tools for drone detection. You can read more about that here: https://bsky.app/profile/schumer.senate.gov/post/3ldefr423gc24 This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill is signed into US federal law that is designed to provide states, counties, or municipalities an enhanced capacity to detect or track drones in their airspace between December 15 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.