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Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.7M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 18, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Hillary ClintonClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hillary Clinton announce presidential run before DNC?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton, former First Lady of the United States, announces that she is running for president of the United States of America before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by this candidate will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether they actually file to run for president in the future. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and this candidate has not announced their intention to run, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by this candidate (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or their official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.