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# days to elect the next Pope?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$452K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 19, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
1ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the next pop be elected in 1 day?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 19, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
A papal conclave to elect the next pope will be held in Rome beginning no earlier than 16 days after Pope Francis' passing, and no later than 21. This gives a date range for the beginning of the papal conclave as starting between May 6 and May 12, 2025. This market will resolve according to the number of days the papal conclave to elect the next bishop of Rome following Pope Francis takes. Counted days will start on the day the conclave begins and end on the day the final vote is cast. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.