Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$39K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 27, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 27, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).