
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if either the morning or evening in-person Columbia University 2024 commencement ceremonies, presently scheduled for May 15, are postponed or cancelled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as a postponement or cancellation is announced for either in-person commencement ceremony. If no postponement or cancellation is announced, this market may only resolve to "No" once both commencement ceremonies have begun. If either or both commencement ceremonies are changed to a digital format, so that no in-person ceremony will occur, it will be considered "cancelled" and this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Columbia University, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:28:33 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.