
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a journalist representing CNN is aboard an airplane carrying Donald Trump at the time of takeoff between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The journalist must be representing CNN at the time of the flight. Journalists representing other agencies at the time of the flight will not qualify, regardless of any previous work done for CNN. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a journalist representing CNN is aboard an airplane carrying Donald Trump at the time of takeoff between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The journalist must be representing CNN at the time of the flight. Journalists representing other agencies at the time of the flight will not qualify, regardless of any previous work done for CNN. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:53:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.