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Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$24.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 7, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 7, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On February 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau confirmed that Canada and the United States agreed to delay the imposition of respective tariffs on imported goods (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/02/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-february-4-2025.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if new tariffs on imports into Canada from the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3, 2025, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.