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California Senate Primary: Who will advance?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$201.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Adam SchiffClosedMarket odds100%
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $1.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The CA Senate Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff moves onto the US general election from the 2024 California primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 California primaries take place before the 2024 US General Election, this market will resolve to "No". If Adam Schiff withdraws from or otherwise announces he is dropping out of the 2024 race for US Senator from California at any point before the primary, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.