Loading your workspace…
All markets
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$193.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 13, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 13, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:16:10 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.