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Bolivia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2.4M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 17, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
18 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Samuel Doria MedinaClosedMarket odds0%
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 17, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Bolivia's general elections are scheduled for 17 August 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Bolivian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).