
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" percentage for the TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D 05 May '25 00:00 in the ET timezone is lower than the final "Close" percentage for the 11 May '25 23:59 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" percentage for the TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D 05 May '25 00:00 in the ET timezone is higher than the final "Close" percentage for the 11 May '25 23:59 ET candle. If the final "Close" percentage for both of these candles is exactly equal on TradingView, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the BTC.D "Close" prices currently available at https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the percentage according to TradingView BTC.D, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:03:27 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.