Loading your workspace…
All markets
Atlantic Named Storms forecast for 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$3.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 10, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
3 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
7 or fewerClosedMarket odds0%
Will CSU forecast 7 or fewer named storms?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 10, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market resolves based on Colorado State University (CSU)'s August 2026 Forecast which will be released on August 5, 2026 (https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html) and specifically CSU's forecast for total Named Storms for the full 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, as stated in the headline forecast table of the August 5, 2026 report. If the forecast is not released by August 10, 2026, this market resolves to "9+" which matches CSU's last forecast that was released on July 8, 2026. If CSU's forecast includes a fractional value, this market resolves to the nearest whole number (with .5 rounding up). If the forecast includes a range, this market resolves to the midpoint of that range, rounded down to the nearest whole number. A named storm is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 mph or greater (tropical storm intensity or higher), as classified by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml).