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Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 13 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$85
Total volume$3.7K
Liquidity$47.6K
Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
DemocratAccepting ordersMarket odds84.5%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
Yes84.5%Polymarket estimate
No15.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $20.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 4, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 83.0¢ / 86.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona Secretary of State election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.