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Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$480.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On February 17, Delta Air Lines Flight 4819, crashed while landing with all 80 people on board evacuated (see: https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents#Top) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify. Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify. The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents