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Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 6 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$57.7
Total volume$3.9K
Liquidity$113.5K
Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Under 45Accepting ordersMarket odds28.5%
Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?
Yes28.5%Polymarket estimate
No71.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $24.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 31, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 28.0¢ / 29.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.