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4 in CZ's next tweet?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$21K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
4 in CZ's next tweet?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.8¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next post (after his last post made on May 22, 2024) made by CZ's verified X account (https://x.com/cz_binance) contains the numeric digit "4" or the exact word "four" anywhere within its text. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if the next post on CZ's verified X account contains a picture of CZ holding up four fingers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no new posts are made to this X account by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count. Pluralization/possessive, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however variant spellings will not count. Other and extraneous symbols being inserted into the word “four” (ex: "f0ur") are considered variant spellings, and will not count toward in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Changpeng Zhao's verified X account: https://x.com/cz_binance. Please note, only the @cz_binance verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Changpeng Zhao posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.