
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Journalism places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sandman places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sovereignty places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodriguez places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tappan Street places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Burnham Square places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Luxor Cafe places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Citizen Bull places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if East Avenue places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Grande places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Owen Almighty places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiztastic places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if American Promise places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chunk of Gold places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Coal Battle places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Baeza places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Neoequos places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Final Gambit places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Publisher places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Admire Daytona places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Render Judgement places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Flying Mohawk places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse H places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse I places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse J places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse K places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse L places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse M places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse N places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Horse O places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any horse other than any listed places first in the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:45:32 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.