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2024 U.S. Chess Championship Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$785.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 24, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Fabiano CaruanaClosedMarket odds100%
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 US Chess Championship?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 24, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 US Chess Championship is scheduled to take place October 11 - 24 at the St. Louis Chess Club in St. Louis, Missouri. You can read more about it here: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-us-chess-championship This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabiano Caruana wins the 2024 US Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it can be definitively determined at any point that this player will not be the winner of this competition based on the rules of the tournament, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from the the 2024 US Chess Championship including footage from the tournament (which will be streamed here: chess.com/events/2024-us-chess-championship), however a consensus of other credible sources may be used.