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Ireland General Election
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.5M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Sinn Féin (SF)ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).