Fed Decision in October?

Polymarket odds

No change82.5%25 bps increase17.5%25 bps decrease0.45%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$188.4K 24h vol.5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Polymarket odds

0 (0 bps)95.9%1 (25 bps)1.8%2 (50 bps)0.95%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$56.1K 24h vol.13 markets

Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket odds

25 bps increase73.5%No change23.5%50+ bps increase1.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$50.8K 24h vol.5 markets

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes72.5%No27.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$15.8K 24h vol.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Polymarket odds

Hike–Pause–Hike58.5%Hike–Pause–Pause24.5%Hike–Hike–Hike11.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$9.6K 24h vol.9 markets

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Polymarket odds

2 (50 bps)63.5%1 (25 bps)27.5%3 (75 bps)8.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$8.5K 24h vol.6 markets

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Polymarket odds

Pause-Hike-Pause46.5%Pause-Hike-Hike22.5%Pause-Pause-Pause9%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$5.6K 24h vol.9 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

Polymarket odds

July 2027 Meeting49%April 2027 Meeting33%June 2027 Meeting28%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$4.8K 24h vol.13 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Polymarket odds

5.3%87%5.4%63.5%5.5%41.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$3.6K 24h vol.13 markets

Fed Decision in January?

Polymarket odds

No change64.5%25 bps increase31.5%25 bps decrease2.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1K 24h vol.5 markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket odds

↑ 4.25%72.1% ↑ 4.5%14.1% ↑ 4.75%6.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$527.9 24h vol.21 markets

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Polymarket odds

December 3116%November 3012.5%October 315%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$303.1 24h vol.3 markets

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

031.5%320.5%117%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$80 24h vol.5 markets

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

039.5%129.4%312%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$56 24h vol.5 markets

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Polymarket odds

4.75%16.5%4.0%15.5%4.25%15.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$10 24h vol.15 markets

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Polymarket odds

4.25%47.3%4.0%22.1%≥ 4.5%16.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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$1.5 24h vol.15 markets

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Polymarket odds

055.5%326.5%114.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.5 markets

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes2.2%No97.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Polymarket odds

June 30, 20279.5%December 31, 20262.2%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

What will be the next Fed rate change?

Polymarket odds

Hike100%Cut0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Polymarket odds

Other100%Cut–Pause–Pause0%Cut–Pause–Cut0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.9 markets

Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Polymarket odds

Yes100%No0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

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Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Polymarket odds

Kevin Warsh100%Judy Shelton0%Kevin Hassett0%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.35 markets

Fed abolished before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes2%No98.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

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Unavailable 24h vol.

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 09:18 PM UTC.