US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes10%No90%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$5.8K 24h vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 15100%October 31100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · $3.3K 24h vol.2 markets

OpenAI resumes training on...?

Polymarket odds

Not resumed by October 2031.5%October 1815.4%October 1510.6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$2.6K 24h vol.24 markets

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes6%No94.1%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$1.6K 24h vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3171%October 1537.5%October 1023%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$208.2 24h vol.5 markets

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Polymarket odds

OpenAI9.5%Anthropic8%SpaceXAI6.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$105.9 24h vol.15 markets

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Polymarket odds

Google22%SpaceXAI17%Meta16.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$83.9 24h vol.13 markets

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3159%October 1550.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$65.2 24h vol.2 markets

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes4.5%No95.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$30 24h vol.

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Polymarket odds

Anthropic25.5%Meta17.9%Google6%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$24.4 24h vol.15 markets

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

October 3123%October 1521%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$22.5 24h vol.3 markets

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes41.5%No58.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$14.6 24h vol.

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes31.5%No68.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$7.2 24h vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes15.5%No84.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

$2.4 24h vol.

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Polymarket odds

Yes30.5%No69.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes10.5%No89.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Polymarket odds

September 30100%October 15100%October 31100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.3 markets

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Polymarket odds

Yes0%No100%

Closed · historical dataNew AI research is for open markets

View market details

Closed · Unavailable 24h vol.

Astra removed from public access by...?

Polymarket odds

October 313.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.2 markets

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes7.5%No92.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Polymarket odds

Yes13.5%No86.5%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Polymarket odds

Yes3.3%No96.7%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Polymarket odds

Yes5.3%No94.8%

AI forecast & evidenceNo verified current report

Analyze with AI

Unavailable 24h vol.

Quotes are market estimates, not AI forecasts. Public prediction events come from Polymarket’s paginated catalogue; specialist trading products are outside this explorer. Retrieved 10:23 PM UTC.