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Wormhole Market Cap (FDV) one week after airdrop?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$103.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<$4bClosedMarket odds0%
Wormhole token FDV less than 4 billion a week after airdrop?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)." This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Wormhole's token is less than $4,000,000,000 1 week after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after its first community airdrop" is defined as 168 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Fully Diluted Valuation" metric. If Wormhole doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."