
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Argentina” if Argentina wins the coin toss at the FIFA World Cup Finals. This market will resolve to “Spain” if Spain wins the coin toss. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no coin toss outcome determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of a re-flip, this market will resolve based on the coin toss result that determines which team chooses a goal to defend. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:09:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.