
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Spain during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:10:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.