'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$55.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 25, 2024

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 25, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on whether 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically more than two times what 'Gladiator II' (2024) grosses domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Gladiator-II-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 22 - 24) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' (2024) grosses more than two times what 'Gladiator II' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.