Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$21.8

Liquidity$5

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds49.7%

Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

Yes49.7%Polymarket estimate

No50.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $6.8
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 1.1¢ / 98.2¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.