U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$61.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 29, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.5¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a national wealth fund. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration is operational by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the market to resolve to Yes, the fund must have an operational structure with appointed officials or a managing body, and hold at least one verifiable asset. The signing of additional executive orders or further announcements which do not meet this criteria will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used