Will US annex any territory in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$157.5K

Liquidity$13.5K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds4.8%

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Yes4.8%Polymarket estimate

No95.2%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $13.5K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 3.8¢ / 5.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.