
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine receives any F-16s between December 1, 2023 and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Ukraine, however a definitive consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If it is unclear as to whether Ukraine has received F-16s by Jan 31, this market may stay open until is it definitely determined. If it is still unclear by Feb 29 ET whether Ukraine received F-16s by Jan 31, this market will resolve based on the most credible evidence available at the time.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 5:03:29 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.