Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$14.2K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine controls the intersection of Zarechnaya Ulitsa and the main road in Grafovka (see map) on March 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET (noon). The intersection station will be considered under Ukrainian control if any part of the intersection is shaded blue on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375). If the area is not blue on March 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM ET (noon), the market will resolve to “No”. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Grafovka+Intersection.jpeg Grafovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Grafovka+Location.jpeg Google Maps location: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hvPDKU9aHBMhiYhx7 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.