
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn January 19, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez referred to President Donald Trump as a rapist (see: https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5095601-ocasio-cortez-skips-trump-inauguration/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be statements from relevant courts, Donald Trump, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or any of their legal representatives and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:33:15 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.