Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$973K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJul 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jul 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed. Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.