
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market resolves to yes if Trump publicly confirms that he launched $DJT (address HRw8mqK8N3ASKFKJGMJpy4FodwR3GKvCFKPDQNqUNuEP) by 11:59 PM ET on June 23, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Only public statements from Trump (including social media posts) confirming that he launched the token will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. Statements from Trump that he is associated with the token, such as tweeting the token ticker, or otherwise mentioning the token will NOT result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:13:07 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.