Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

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24h volume$600

Total volume$542.5K

Liquidity$48.5K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds2.4%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Yes2.4%Polymarket estimate

No97.6%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $48.5K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.3¢ / 2.5¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.