Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$10.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCOct 25, 2024

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 25, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count). Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state. If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.