Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$2M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in New York for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once New York has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.