Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$38.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 15, 2025

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 15, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.8¢ / 99.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 4 and August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. Sanctions in the form of secondary tariffs (i.e., tariffs targeting third-party countries or entities for continuing to trade with Russia) will qualify. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.