Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$186.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 29, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.4¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action increasing the statutory cap on H-1B visas (currently 65,000 plus an additional 20,000 for advanced degree holders), eliminating the cap, creating new exemptions, or establishing a third category of H-1B visa by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.