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Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$431.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 29, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal programs managed by the department, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If USAID is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled USAID it will count as a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.