
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will be terminated before its currently scheduled end date of July 4, 2026, at any point on or before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, restructuring announcements that do not specify termination, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal announcement of early termination will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:46:12 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.