Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$24.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 24, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 24, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump drinks from a water bottle, cup, or other vessel ostensibly containing water. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Drinks from containers such as cans with brand labelling indicating non-water contents will not qualify. Any sip take from when Trump reaches the podium to when he finishes speaking will count. Sips taken after the completion of the speech will not qualify. If the address is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on video footage of the events, or a consensus of credible reporting.