
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates any cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:32:28 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.