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Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.9M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 11, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 11, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump deploys any National Guard troops into Washington, D.C., on active duty by August 11, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of National Guard personnel into Washington, D.C., will qualify; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:27:23 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.